The AI Layoff Illusion

Posted by Mike Walsh ON 3/8/26 5:16 AM

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A dangerous new market narrative is spreading through boardrooms and earnings calls: artificial intelligence has made companies so productive that they can slash their workforce and barely notice the difference. Analysts applaud, the stock jumps, and executives describe a future where digital labor replaces the old human-heavy operating model. Unfortunately, the economy is rarely that tidy.

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CATEGORY: AI

Abundant Intelligence Does Not Have to End in Crisis

Posted by Mike Walsh ON 2/28/26 2:54 PM

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There is, perhaps, a small silver lining in the current wave of AI anxiety. Not long ago, the dominant fears revolved around killer robots, runaway superintelligence, and apocalyptic scenarios that ended with data centers being nuked from space. Today the panic is more grounded, and in many ways more sophisticated. We are no longer imagining machines conquering humanity; we are worrying about white-collar unemployment ticking above 10%, mortgage books wobbling in San Francisco, and private credit portfolios unraveling because software agents can write code faster than junior analysts. The monsters have moved from science fiction to the balance sheet.

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CATEGORY: Leadership, AI

The Sovereign Enterprise: The Hidden Fragility of the AI Supply Chain

Posted by Mike Walsh ON 2/24/26 6:12 AM

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The AI crisis arrived without fanfare. There were no alarms, no cascading red dashboards, no breathless messages from the security operations center. At 3:17 a.m., somewhere between Singapore and Rotterdam, an AI routing agent inside a global logistics company glitched slightly. Just milliseconds. But that agent sat at the center of thousands of shipments, negotiating contracts, rerouting containers, balancing fuel costs and port congestion in real time. That week, the company cloud provider had quietly shifted workloads to a different region after an energy price spike. A frontier model vendor had rolled out an update that subtly changed how the system reasoned. An external technology partner, granted limited access months earlier, had folded usage patterns into broader product improvements now available to competitors. Nothing was hacked. Nothing was stolen. Yet by quarter’s end, delivery times slipped, margins thinned, and the firm’s once sharp operational instincts felt strangely generic.

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CATEGORY: AI

AI Is Repricing the Market — But Not in the Way You Think

Posted by Mike Walsh ON 2/14/26 10:29 AM

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By 10:47 a.m. on Wednesday morning, billions of dollars had evaporated from wealth management stocks. There had been no earnings miss. No regulatory shock. No fraud. Just a press release from a startup announcing an AI-powered financial planning tool that could analyze tax returns, generate scenarios, and personalize investment strategies in minutes. Within hours, asset managers in London were sliding in sympathy. Brokerage firms in New York were down sharply. Days earlier, legal publishers and data providers had suffered similar fates after the launch of new AI research tools. A wealth manager and a legal publisher have very little in common. Yet, as reported by the FT, their stocks fell for the same reason in the same week.

 

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CATEGORY: AI

Digital Labor Isn’t Going Away, No Matter What You Call It

Posted by Mike Walsh ON 2/7/26 10:11 AM

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For the last year, the debate around AI at work has split into two unhelpful extremes. On one side, we have breathless talk of “AI coworkers,” complete with onboarding rituals, performance reviews, and soft-focus imagery of humans and machines collaborating happily at their desks. On the other, we have an anxious counter-reaction that insists this language is dangerous, misleading, and fundamentally wrong, because AI systems are not people and should never be spoken of as if they were. Both camps miss the point. The real question is not whether machines deserve human metaphors, but whether leaders understand what kind of economic force they are unleashing, and what kind of organization that force demands.

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CATEGORY: HR, AI

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