Apples vs Oranges

Posted by Mike Walsh ON 10/4/08 12:23 AM

2157054544 0c71b77deb bThe sales assistant in the downtown NYC TMobile store was effusive to say the least. He shrugged at my hacked Hong Kong iPhone, and pulled out the new Google phone and waved it at me. 'This changes everything', he said. 'I can check an address on my map, zoom into 3D street level and then actually see a picture of my own shop. And even better, I can scan the SKUs of my products, and see if they are cheaper down the road'. I nodded politely, thinking that if anything was going to change with the new Google phone, it may simply be the number of people spending money at his overpriced shop.

But it did provoke another thought. What we are seeing now is what you might call the third phase of the mobile evolution. Phase one was about transforming eighties mobile bricks into slick, design lust objects. Phase two was about figuring out how to make mobiles impersonate your Walkman and personal video player. Phase three, in my opinion will now pit Apple, Google and Microsoft against each other as they all attempt to control the ecosystem for cloud based applications.



I won't speculate as to the odds of who will win that, save for making two observations. Firstly, cloud based platforms are, in the end, a winner takes all game. It comes down to scale. More users means more data, more data means more value, which in turn increases your ability to play dirty to win even more users. 



Secondly, the rise of the mobile data cloud is (another) big wake up call for Telcos. The more that value is delivered as a result of cloudware rather than software, bundled content or product design - the more commoditised the simple act of providing a data pipe becomes. Unlocked handsets are the future, as are unlimited mobile data plans that allow the dreaded voice over IP. As the pools of fast WiFI expand across urban areas, and geeks figure out how to make mesh networks easily run on mobile phones - the days of being able to charge monopoly rents for merely plugging holes in people's network coverage will draw to a close far swifter than anyone on the executive floor may realise.


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CATEGORY: Culture

The Silver Lining

Posted by Mike Walsh ON 7/28/08 8:03 AM

silverApple's new MobileMe service has had a tough reception. Not entirely unsurprising. After all, when you are heralding the second coming of the 'Jesus Phone', its inevitable that expectations might be running unfairly high.

Yet when the furor over the buggy release dies down, I think people will realise that in some ways MobileMe is more significant than the new iPhone itself. Here's why - cloud storage is the future. We have been building to this point for a while. The real impact of Web2.0 was not new interface designs or crazy social networking site valuations - but the idea that websites should be platforms, and that your data should live on the web not on your PC. Contacts, photos, articles, comments, videos - when data lives in the cloud it is not only accessible from wherever you are, it is able to interact with other bits of data as well.

New services like MobileMe will do for your data what Facebook did with your contact book. It will become a bridge between your devices and the rest of the world. Ray Ozzie at Microsoft had planned a similar strategy with Mesh, but like any release of Windows - that too seems to have been lost in translation. Of course, eventually I believe it won't just be your own data that will live in the cloud - the world's entertainment and media content will also migrate from your devices and be available streaming on demand.

However for any of this to be remotely useful, one big thing has to change - cheap, global, data roaming. There is no point having all the content in the world at your fingertips when you are getting done over a barrel on international data roaming charges. If Bill Gates in the eighties dreamed of a computer on every desktop, I'd like to imagine a world with a fixed price, all you can eat, global mobile broadband data contract.

Now that will be the start of the real revolution.

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CATEGORY: Culture

Casbaa 2007

Posted by Mike Walsh ON 11/3/07 8:26 AM

1838582377 f943c2802d oI've been totally immersed in Mobile TV for the last few months and on Friday I presented a keynote talk at CASBAA's 2007 conference in Hong Kong on the subject. One of the main problems with Mobile TV at the moment is expectations. Individually - 'mobile' and 'tv' - are two of the biggest business ideas of all time. Not surprising then that most people simply expect 'Mobile TV' to be a runaway success right out of the box. If only it were that simple.

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CATEGORY: Culture

Have TV, Will Travel

Posted by Mike Walsh ON 10/10/07 2:44 PM

phoneI love the subway. There is always a certain sameness about it that borders on the uncanny. You get on at Myeong-dong, Seoul and get off at Times Square, New York. And yet, when you look closely - so different. Like the way people pass the time in the carriages in Korea. Mostly staring at palm sized devices with odd antennae protruding from them. It is one thing to read about Mobile TV in Korea, and another to see it for what it is - part of everyday life. I arrived in Seoul today for a few meetings and to catch up with some old friends. What blows me away about technology in this part of the world is that they don't fetishise it the way we do in the west. The latest gadgets are not sold in gleaming concept stores, but under glaring neons in small markets, wrapped in kitchen grade plastic next to the section with vacuum cleaners. Mighty media executives and regulators on the other side of the world may ponder broadcast standards and business models. But meanwhile a Korean salary man, hemmed in on all sides by fellow workers will catch a few minutes of Dae Jang Geum in between stops.

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CATEGORY: Culture

Chasing The Dragon

Posted by Mike Walsh ON 10/14/05 6:26 AM

Whether it be chasing online eyeballs or trading for silk and spices, the West has had a long fascination with expanding Eastwards. The lure is part growth fetish, part colonial fervor. But there is a catch. Unlike the Opium Wars of an earlier age, this time round the Orient may have the technology advantage.

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CATEGORY: Culture

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